Covid lockdowns were NO more effective than Swedish-style softer approach, major Oxford University-backed study suggests

Daily Mail | 17 Nov 2023

  • Researchers made model that measures Covid deaths for different policies
  • Letting people adapt behaviour just as effective as lockdowns, study suggests

Covid lockdowns were no more effective at controlling the pandemic than letting people adapt their own behaviour to the threat, a major Oxford University-backed study suggests. 

Researchers modelled virus death and unemployment rates in response to different pandemic policies.

Results showed imposing blanket shutdowns, which forced people to stay home and closed essential shops, squashed fatality rates for the virus. 

However, leaving people to adapt their own behaviour — similar to the controversial approach used in Sweden — was just as effective, data revealed. 

Experts concluded that both policies led to ‘similar trade-offs’ for people’s health and the economy, with both approaches triggering huge job losses.

Due to differences in logging data, comparisons between countries are difficult. However, figures from Oxford University platform Our World in Data suggests Sweden (blue line) is doing better than its European peers. It has logged 2,370 deaths per million people compared to the 2,769 per million average for the European Union by late October. For comparison, the UK has logged 3,421 per million (red line)

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